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Video: Biden versus the generals on 2,500 troops in Afghanistan

Testimony by top military leaders appeared to contradict what President Biden said in August. But his comments were open to interpretation.
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How the supply chain crisis is hurting Facebook, Google and Snapchat
The escalating supply chain crisis isn’t just hurting manufacturers and retailers that sell goods off the shelf — it’s bleeding into the tech world.
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How you’ll know when Covid-19 has gone from “pandemic” to “endemic”
Experts say it is unrealistic to think Covid-19 will be totally eradicated. | Getty Images It’s more subjective than you might think. You’ve probably heard it by now: Covid-19 is not going away. The broad consensus among experts is that it’s not realistic to think we’re going to totally eradicate this virus. We will, however, see it move out of the pandemic phase and into the endemic phase. That means the virus will keep circulating in parts of the global population for years, but its prevalence and impactwill come down to relatively manageable levels, so it becomes more like the flu than a world-stopping disease. For now, “we have to remember that we are still in a pandemic with this virus,” said Jen Kates, director of global health and HIV policy at the Kaiser Family Foundation. “We’re not yet at a point where we’re living with endemic Covid. When we get to that point some of this will be much easier, but we’re not there.” So, how will we know when we are there? Is there some clear threshold or some magical metricthat will tell us, objectively and undeniably? Yes and no. For an infectious disease to be classed in the endemic phase, the rate of infections has to more or less stabilize across years (though occasional increases, say, in the winter, are expected). “A disease is endemic if the reproductive number is stably at one. That means one infected person, on average, infects one other person,” explained Boston University epidemiologist Eleanor Murray. “Right now, we are nowhere near that. Each person who’s infected is infecting more than one person.” That’s largely due to the hyper-contagious delta variant and the fact that most of the global population doesn’t yet have immunity — whether through vaccination or infection — so susceptibility is still high. (For a while, there had been hope that the arrival of vaccines would mean we could reach herd immunity — that is, when enough of a population has gained immunity to confer protection to everyone. But those hopes have been dashed as we’ve failed to vaccinate enough people and more contagious variants have circulated widely.) But getting the virus’s reproductive number down to one is just “the bare minimum” for earning the endemic classification, Murray said. There are other factors that come into play, too — and assessing these factors is a more subjective business. In general, a virus becomes endemic when we — health experts, governmental bodies, and the public —collectively decide that we’re okay with accepting the level of impact the virus has. And obviously, that’s a tricky thing: People will differ as to what constitutes an acceptable level. The multiple factors that determine when a disease is endemic The worst outcome from becoming infected with a virus is obviously death. The flu, for example, kills between 12,000 and 52,000 Americans each year, according to CDC estimates. Is that figure “acceptable” or too high? “The way I think about it, even with influenza, that’s too much,” Joshua Petrie, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan School of Public Health, told me. But as a society, we’ve implicitly decided that we will accept that level of mortality rather than taking measures to lower it by, say, wearing masks in winter or mandating flu vaccines. Similarly, with Covid-19, people will disagree about what constitutes an “acceptable” level of mortality. “I am not prepared to say what the appropriate benchmark is yet, but it certainly is much, much lower than where we are, and much closer to where the flu is,” Kates said. Because pandemics don’t end by a disease just fading away, & pandemics don’t end with everyone able to completely forget about the disease.Pandemics end when we decide how much death and disease we’re satisfied with. I dont know about you, but for me—this is too much death.— Dr Ellie Murray, ScD (@EpiEllie) October 1, 2021 Mortality isn’t the only type of impact we need to take seriously. Covid-19 can lead to long-haul symptoms in a minority of cases — estimates range from 10 to 30 percent in unvaccinated people, with a small number of vaccinated people also affected. The symptoms, like brain fog, memory loss, and fatigue, are sometimes so debilitating that the condition is recognized as a disability under the Americans with Disabilities Act. The reasons why some people get “long Covid” and others recover quickly are still not well understood, and the path to effective treatments for long-haulers is uncertain. In determining endemicity, Murray said she’d look at the availability of treatments for long-haulers as well as treatments for people in the early stages of the disease (Merck’s pill molnupiravir, which the pharma giant said cuts hospitalizations in half for at-risk patients, looks like it’ll be helpful in this regard). She’d also consider other factors like ICU and hospital bed capacity, supply-chain issues, and whether the use of medications for Covid-19 is detracting from the supply of those medications for other chronic conditions that they’d normally be treating. “What you want is to get to a stage where you don’t have to worry about disruption because of Covid,” Murray told me. “The pandemic is over when the crises stop — not just when we get to a certain level of death.” Again, though, determining when something stops being a crisis can be a bit subjective. There’s one imminent development that makes Murray hopeful about the pandemic phase winding down in the US by 2022: Vaccines for 5- to 11-year-olds are expected to be approved within weeks. “I think once we have vaccines for all ages, I’m a lot more hopeful about the control situation in the US,” she said. Vaccinating school-going kids is crucial both because it’ll protect them and because it’ll limit spread in the community. Will we get an official declaration saying the state of emergency is over? In March 2020, the World Health Organization declared the novel coronavirus a pandemic. Soon after, the US government declared a national emergency. Then, one by one, states followed suit. As we move toward endemicity, we can expect to watch this process happen in reverse, experts told me. First, we’ll likely see individual states declaring an end to the emergency (some states already have). This will be staggered. Some areas, notably those with high vaccination rates, will reach a reasonable approximation of endemicity sooner than others. On a national level, “the CDC may pull back our state of emergency in the US if cases remain low at some point in the future,” said Tara Smith, an epidemiologist at Kent State University. “But we still have a long way to go in controlling the virus around the globe,” she added. “A pandemic by nature is global, and while we’re doing better in the US and other wealthy countries, vaccine availability in many low- and middle-income countries has been atrocious.” The WHO will eventually declare an end to the global pandemic, just like it’s done in the past for, say, the H1N1 “swine flu” pandemic. You just shouldn’t expect to hear the WHO’s declaration anytime soon. But that doesn’t mean you can’t move forward with your life in the meantime. If you live in the US, “it’s certainly possible” your region will be reasonably classed as being in the endemic phase in 2022, Petrie said. When the time comes, your state health department and local officials will likely make an announcement, based partly on the virus’s objective reproductive number and partly on the more subjective criteria above. And until then? Rather than thinking of endemicity as an on-off switch next year, plan to think of it as a dimmer switch, Petrie told me. He plans to keep an eye on the CDC’s county data tracker to monitor local transmission levels. When his county is no longer in the red zone, he’ll start to feel more comfortable doing more public activities. We all have different levels of risk tolerance, so, for a while yet, we’ll be making our own subjective choices about which thresholds feel safe enough. “As we’re transitioning to a more endemic level,” he said, “I think adjusting your behavior based on what’s happening locally makes a lot of sense.” A version of this story was initially published in the Future Perfect newsletter. Sign up here to subscribe!
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Kim Kardashian is all business on her birthday and more star snaps
Kim Kardashian turns 41 in style, Paris Hilton gets political and more...
Issa Rae on nine-figure deal: "Someone's betting on me"
Actress Issa Rae sat down with “CBS Mornings” co-host Gayle King to reflect on the fifth and final season of her hit show "Insecure."
Severe storms with tornadoes threaten the central US this weekend
As the country transitions from the heat of summer to the cold of winter, the clash between seasons will trigger severe storms, including tornadoes, this weekend in the central United States.
Female Ex-Afghan Parliament Member Says U.S. Should Be 'Accountable' for Taliban Takeover
"As a superpower, the United States has a major responsibility and should be held accountable," Fawzia Koofi said.
Alec Baldwin breaks silence on film set shooting
Indiana woman charged with murder in dating app threesome gone wrong
Two people are dead after a threesome set up by an Indiana woman on a dating app turned horribly violent.
Alec Baldwin comments on Halyna Hutchins shooting
Alec Baldwin says he is “heartbroken” as he breaks his silence following the shooting death of a cinematographer on the set of his latest film. “There are no words to convey my shock and sadness regarding the tragic accident that took the life of Halyna Hutchins, a wife, mother and deeply admired colleague of ours....
Pfizer says COVID-19 vaccine for kids 5-11 was over 90% effective
A panel of the FDA's vaccine advisers will be discussing the data on Tuesday.
Alec Baldwin calls fatal movie set shooting a "tragic accident"
Cinematographer Halyna Hutchins​ was killed in Thursday's shooting and director Joel Souza was wounded, authorities said.
Utah School District Routinely Ignored Racism, Gave Black Students Harsher Punishments: DOJ
Davis School District officials said they're taking the DOJ's findings "very seriously" and that they do not " reflect the values of this community."
Alec Baldwin says he's 'fully cooperating with police' after fatal shooting on 'Rust' set
Alec Baldwin has made his first public statement since a fatal shooting on the set of his new film on Thursday.
Alec Baldwin 'fully cooperating with police' after fatal shooting on 'Rust' set
Alec Baldwin has broken his silence in the wake of a fatal shooting on the set of his new film.
'There are no words to convey my shock and sadness': Film star breaks his silence in the wake of crew member's death
Alec Baldwin has broken his silence in the wake of a fatal shooting on the set of his new film.
With Brian Laundrie's Death Confirmed—Will Secret Gabby Petito Bodycam Video Be Released?
Clips from a third police camera showing Laundrie and Petito after a reported altercation in August are still being withheld, authorities have confirmed.
High school girls' volleyball: Southern Section playoff results and updated pairings
High school girls' volleyball: Southern Section playoff results and updated pairings
Biden pleads for progressive patience in CNN town hall
Don’t give up on me, I’ll deliver on your priorities later, he tells people.
What’s Allowed on Trump’s New ‘TRUTH’ Social Media Platform—And What Isn’t
Including a clause prohibiting users from "excessive use of capital letters"
Biden sows confusion about defending Taiwan from China
It's something President Biden once derided when George W. Bush did it. The big question is whether it's deliberate.
Elephant Kills Suspected Poacher in Renowned South African Park
Park officials said it is dangerous to hunt illegally in the area, warning that "criminals stand to lose their lives and freedom."
Virtual Reali-Tea Ep. 4: A ‘Pump Rules’ split, a ‘RHONJ’ engagement and even more Bravo drama from the week
A #RHONJ engagement, #PumpRules breakup, and even more Bravo drama from this week — all on Virtual Reali-Tea!
A champagne shortage is looming. Shop early to keep the sparkle in your holidays.
The supply chain issues, coupled with difficult harvests, have resulted in low supply, high demand and higher prices.
‘Wendy Williams Show’ paying people to sit in audience during her absence
The "How You Doin'?" host will continue her talk show hiatus until at least early November, with guest hosts such as Whitney Cummings filling in for her.
A ballot initiative on reforming the police after George Floyd’s death is tearing Minneapolis apart
The recent rise in inflation, explained in 600 words
Fed chair Jerome Powell during a news conference at a Federal Open Market Committee meeting on January 30, 2019, in Washington, DC. | Alex Wong/Getty Images US prices are up. What’s less clear is if it’s a temporary or a longer-term shift. This is an excerpt from The Weeds newsletter. To subscribe for a weekly dive into policy and its effects on people, click here. If you’ve been watching the news lately, you probably have a good sense that inflation is going up — that, in other words, things are getting a bit more expensive. Only it’s a little more nuanced than that. It’s true that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 5.4 percent in the 12 months ending in September. That included a more than 42 percent increase in the price of gasoline, a more than 24 percent increase in used cars and trucks, and a nearly 20 percent increase in hotels and motels. But many economists say the CPI isn’t the best indicator of inflation — the Federal Reserve, for one, generally relies on a different standard. There’s also reason to believe that comparing current prices to last year’s isn’t a good idea. There’s a very good reason — the coronavirus — that hotel prices, for example, were likely depressed last year, so one should expect such prices to rise now. There are also things that traditional measures of inflation don’t fully pick up — what some economists call “shadow inflation.” Essentially, higher prices on goods and services can also lead businesses to ration or reduce the quality of their own goods and services, instead of hiking their own prices. If you’ve been to a hotel recently, you may have witnessed this, as many of these businesses are no longer doing daily room cleanings or room service. Or you may have noticed it, as I certainly have, in the struggle to get a PlayStation 5. So what’s going on? In short, it’s supply and demand. During the Covid-19 pandemic, many businesses cut back services and orders — on, say, semiconductor chips used for cars and PlayStations — and that has led to some supply shortfalls that linger today. At the same time, US demand for goods is skyrocketing: Inflation-adjusted retail spending is up 14 percent over the past two years, the New York Times reported. That’s in part a result of unleashed pent-up demand (and savings) as the country returns to a pre-pandemic normal, buoyed by the infusions of money the federal government sent out in response to the Covid-19 recession. There’s a big question of where this all leads now: Is this temporary? Will this all fix itself as the American economy — and, really, society as a whole — recovers from the pandemic? Or is this part of a “regime shift,” in which higher inflation will be baked into the system for some time? The Federal Reserve, for its part, seems to believe the current period is transitory. But it’s also acknowledged that may not be the case, promising to remain vigilant in the months ahead. The honest answer, then, is that we don’t know if the current inflation situation is temporary or something longer-term. Still, it’s having an impact right now on policy discussions. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) has argued Democrats’ reconciliation bill, once estimated at $3.5 trillion, should be scaled back to avoid fueling even more demand and therefore more inflation. But there are also ways more spending could help bring down inflation. For example: Oil and gas have been major drivers of inflation over the past few decades. So if lawmakers, as they plan to in the reconciliation bill, make the American economy less reliant on oil and gas, that could lead to fewer periods of high inflation over time — even if it means pumping more money into the economy right now. So, yes, it’s complicated. It’s not the most satisfying conclusion in the world, but it harks back to last week’s newsletter on our collective ignorance: Sometimes, we just don’t know enough about something to draw hard conclusions — and it requires a little humility and flexibility to get by. Paper of the week: Vaccine lotteries likely weren’t effective A new research letter in JAMA Health Forum suggests that lottery prizes for Covid-19 vaccines may not have moved the needle on vaccination rates. As the vaccine rollout slowed earlier this year, Ohio was among the first states to announce that it will offer a $1 million prize, through a statewide lottery, to five vaccinated adults. The early data was promising, suggesting the scheme boosted vaccination rates. So many states followed suit with their own lotteries. But when researchers Dhaval Dave, Andrew Friedson, Benjamin Hansen, and Joseph Sabia ran the numbers, the results were disappointing — finding no evidence of even small associations between vaccine uptake and the lottery programs. JAMA Health Forum The researchers caution that the findings don’t mean no incentives worked; this is only about the lotteries. And the study is largely correlational, so the results shouldn’t be taken as the final word on the matter. I would also add that this doesn’t mean the lotteries weren’t worth doing. As I argued after Ohio’s first drawing, these kinds of experiments are exactly what we needed — and still need — in the push to get everyone vaccinated. From a practical standpoint, we wouldn’t know if lotteries worked if we hadn’t tried them. It would have been much better, of course, if it turned out that the lotteries were a smashing success. But, due to some policymakers’ willingness to experiment, at least we now know for future reference that they’re likely not a good way to get more people vaccinated.
Add zip to your meal with this lively, light $15 red blend from Côtes du Rhône
RECOMMENDED | Plus, a Georgian white grape grown in the Finger Lakes, prosecco, cava rosé and a soave for milder weather sips.
Fox Nation's 'Grim Tide' investigates the hunt for the Long Island serial killer
"Grim Tide," a five-part series on Fox Nation, investigates the murders of 10 women in the Gilgo Beach area of Long Island in 2011. Fox News' Laura Ingle spent nearly a year conducting interviews and looking into the newest technology being used to solve the case.
Netflix's 'Locke and Key': All the Keys and Their Powers Revealed
The fantasy drama based on Joe Hill's comic is about a grieving family who seek solace in the childhood home of their late father/husband—but all is not as it seems.
Bride Given Just Weeks to Live Marries Groom in Incredibly Emotional Ceremony
With the help of local suppliers and organizations, a wedding was organized for the couple in 48 hours.
Arlkington school board race: Meet the candidates running
One seat is open in the Northern Virginia district of 23,000.
Alec Baldwin says he's 'fully cooperating' after deadly prop gun incident: 'My heart is broken'
"There are no words to convey my shock and sadness," Alec Baldwin said in a series of tweets Friday following the "Rust" set incident.
National Arts and Humanities Month: From climate change to racism, how the arts can save us
In times of chaos, it is the arts and humanities that grant us the insight to understand what we are experiencing in the world around us
Hospitalized Robert Durst Charged in New York With Murder of Wife Who Disappeared in 1982
Kathie Durst went missing nearly 40 years ago when she was 29 years old. While her body was never discovered, her family had her declared legally dead in 2017.
'Rust' shooting: 'Live single round' killed cinematographer, union says
The shot fired on the "Rust" set that killed Halyna Hutchins and injured director Joel Souza was "a live single round," according to IATSE's Local 44 chapter.
Northern California family found on hiking trail died of extreme heat
Jonathan Gerrish, his wife Ellen Chung and their 1-year-old daughter Aurelia “Miju” Chung-Gerris died of hyperthermia — which occurs when a person’s body temperature is dangerously high.
Vaccines are helping the economy return to normal. Supply chain problems are holding it back
Covid continues to loom over the US economy, but economic activity is nonetheless inching closer to its pre-pandemic strength, helped in large part by people returning to their offices.
Photos show spoiled meals served to elementary students
Bus company keeps dropping kids off at wrong place
Lawsuit: FedEx trucks not disclosing true mileage
School investigating threat to kill students
PD: Man throws pumpkins at woman over parking
Thieves break into jewelry store through roof
Suspect wants limits on 'drug slang' testimony
Firefighters, paramedics who delivered baby honored
Church continues to feed hungry amid supply crisis
Man faces numerous child sex offenses charges
Who are Halyna Hutchins and Joel Souza?
Cinematographer Halyna Hutchins and director Joel Souza were both shot by a prop gun, fired by actor Alec Baldwin on the set of "Rust" on Thursday. Hutchins has died.