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Remembering Colin Powell: Former President Bush calls him 'a great public servant'
Former President Bush, on the passing of Colin Powell, calls the retired general and former secretary of state 'a great man'
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Colin Powell through the years
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WNBA looks ahead to 2022 season with potential changes
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Chris Tierney scores twice, Senators beat Stars 3-2
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Will the Biden administration take a stand against vaccine obstruction?
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‘Succession’ Season 3 Kicks Off With a Tragically Gorgeous Kendall Roy Scene
Kendall Roy is still a scared little boy.
His collection of miniatures from around the world fills 16 rooms. And he’s not done yet.
“They are poets,” he says of the artisans who make the intricate figurines.
Racial disparities may be emerging in breakthrough infections. We must track them better.
The lack of complete data is unacceptable.
What Would Religious Leaders Do if Aliens Showed Up?
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Angelina Jolie, Rita Moreno among Elle Women in Hollywood honorees
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How screwed are Democrats in the Senate?
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) speaks on the passage of the bipartisan infrastructure bill on August 11, 2021, in Washington, DC. | Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images The challenges the party will face in keeping its majorities in 2022 and 2024. Democrats are terrified of what the future holds for them in the United States Senate. The party currently controls half the seats in the chamber, giving them, with Vice President Harris’s tie-breaking vote, the narrowest possible majority. But some in the party — like pollster David Shor, recently profiled by Ezra Klein in the New York Times — believe demographic trends put Democrats at grave risk of falling into a deep hole over the next two election cycles. That risk exists even if Democrats continue to win more votes nationwide. “If 2024 is simply a normal year, in which Democrats win 51 percent of the two-party vote, Shor’s model projects a seven-seat loss, compared with where they are now,” Klein writes. In other words, Republicans could well get a 57 to 43 Senate majority, the GOP’s biggest in about a century, even if Democrats win more votes. This sense of impending Senate doom is the backdrop for many of Democrats’ debates right now — the messaging fight over whether the party should embrace “popularism,” the legislative fight over the reconciliation package that may be Democrats’ last chance to legislate for some time, and the frustration with a conservative Supreme Court majority that looks likely to be entrenched for years to come. Democrats’ main problem is that they’ve been doing poorly among white voters without a college education, who are spread out across many states, while Democrats’ voters are concentrated in fewer, bigger states. (This is why Shor has been arguing that the party needs to change its message to better appeal to such voters.) Recent presidential election results show how Democrats’ votes are packed into fewer states. When Biden won about 52 percent of the two-party popular vote in 2020, he won 25 states. But when Trump won about 49 percent of the two-party popular vote in 2016, he won 30 states. (If GOP Senate candidates had managed to replicate Trump’s map in 2018 and 2020, they would have won a 60-vote supermajority.) Democratic presidential candidates’ struggle to win more states isn’t entirely new — George W. Bush won less than 50 percent of the national vote in 2000 but still won 30 states. What was different back then was voters were much more willing to split their tickets, voting for a presidential candidate from one party and a Senate candidate from the other. Ten states split their results like that in 2000 but zero did in 2016 and only one (Maine) did in 2020. The increased polarization and nationalization of politics are producing more uniform results. To get a better sense of this, though, it’s worth delving into the specific seats that are in play. There are three Democrats representing states Trump won in 2020, all of whom are up in 2024. But there’s a second tier of vulnerability in the 10 Democrats representing states Biden just narrowly won. There are fewer Republican senators in comparable positions, and those that do exist seem to be on safer ground than their Democratic counterparts. The mismatched senators After the bitterly fought 2000 election, 30 of the 100 senators represented states that their party’s presidential nominee did not win. Since then, that number has gradually dwindled, as red-state Democrats and blue-state Republicans have retired or gone down to defeat. When Trump took office, there were 14 such senators remaining. Now, there are only six. The Senate has sorted by partisanship. So to understand the map going forward, it’s useful to start with those six “mismatched” senators. There are three from each party, but that seeming parity is a bit misleading. Two of the Republicans, Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and retiring Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA), represent genuine swing states that went narrowly for Trump in 2016 and narrowly for Biden in 2020. Both of these seats are on the ballot in 2022 and represent promising opportunities for Democrats if the party can avoid a midterm slump. Regardless, these seats will probably stay competitive in the future if these states remain competitive on a presidential level. The third mismatched Republican, Sen. Susan Collins represents a bluer but not always overwhelmingly blue state (Biden won it by 9 points, Hillary Clinton lost it by 3 points). Collins won convincingly last year, becoming 2020’s sole split-ticket Senate victor, and isn’t up again until 2026. The three mismatched Democrats, meanwhile, all represent states Trump won solidly both times. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) might be compared to Collins (Trump won Ohio by 8), but Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Jon Tester (D-MT) represent much more deeply red states than Johnson and Toomey (Trump won West Virginia by 39 and Montana by 16). All three of these Democrats survived the Trump midterms of 2018, even as several of their red-state Democratic colleagues went down to defeat amid a strong year for Democrats nationally. But these seats will next be on the ballot in 2024, a presidential year. To survive, they’ll likely have to count on split-ticket voters. That was a plausible path to victory during the Obama years and before, but in the two presidential cycles since, only one senator, Collins, has managed to pull this off. The overall takeaway is that the three Trump state Democrats will all start their 2024 races as deep underdogs (if they run again). Meanwhile, one Biden-state Republican is safe until 2026. The other two seats face some danger in 2022, but their states are inherently closer and they could be aided by the traditional midterm backlash against the president’s party, if that materializes. That adds up to unfavorable math for Democrats. But it’s not their only problem. The close states The next tier of vulnerable senators represents states that their own presidential candidate just narrowly won. If we define a narrow win as “less than 3 percentage points,” there are 10 such Democrats: Sens. Raphael Warnock (D-GA), Jon Ossoff (D-GA), Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ), Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), Bob Casey (D-PA), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), Jacky Rosen (D-NV), Debbie Stabenow (D-MI), and Gary Peters (D-MI). There are only two such Republicans: Sens. Richard Burr (R-NC) and Thom Tillis (R-NC). Expanding the definition slightly, to a 3.5 percentage point win, would also bring in Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Rick Scott (R-FL). That’s a very big discrepancy. A slight shift in the national winds — a relatively minor deterioration of Biden’s and Democrats’ position — could knock out a whole lot of Senate Democrats. A similarly sized improvement of Democrats’ position doesn’t have the same upside because there aren’t as many Republicans representing close states. It’s also useful to break these down by cycle. In 2022, Kelly (Arizona), Warnock (Georgia), and Cortez Masto (Nevada) are up for Democrats; Rubio (Florida) and the retiring Burr (North Carolina) for Republicans, plus Johnson and Toomey, Republicans in states that Biden won. That’s a relatively balanced map, meaning that Democrats’ biggest problem will be defying historical trends that the president’s party tends to lose voter support in the midterms. A bigger shift, or unique circumstances specific to the candidates, could also put other races in play. But 2024 could be an utter debacle for Democrats in the Senate if the election goes poorly for them. Sinema, Baldwin, Casey, Rosen, and Stabenow are all up, along with the Trump-state Democrats Manchin, Tester, and Brown. Meanwhile, Rick Scott is the only Republican in a close state up that year. Coalitions shift over time, and future elections could bring demographic changes few are yet anticipating. And none of this makes Democrats’ defeat inevitable. The Senate map for them looked rough on paper in 2012, but they walked away from that presidential year netting two seats. But the structural disadvantage appears deep and real — it means Democrats, with their current coalition, have to clear a higher bar to win even a small majority. It also means the bottom can fall out quite quickly for them.
Joe Manchin Takes on Progressives With Child Tax Credit Demand
Full child tax credits would reportedly be limited to households earning less than about $60,000 a year, under Manchin's demands.
Trucking's future takes shape as self-driving semi-trucks prepare to drive FedEx packages
A lack of truck drivers is partially behind lengthy delivery delays in the U.S., and the industry expects a shortage of 100,000 drivers by 2023, when the startup Aurora plans to have autonomous trucks begin driving FedEx packages. Transportation correspondent Errol Barnett recently rode along in a self-driving semi-truck on a Texas highway.
17 Times Timothée Chalamet and Zendaya Understood the Assignment
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Cancel culture: Dave Chappelle and other comedians who have taken sides
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Climber's body recovered from mountain after she sent message for help
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Oprah Winfrey to interview Adele in ‘One Night Only’ concert special
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Suspected New Jersey drug dealer charged in man’s fentanyl overdose death
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‘America's Got Talent: Extreme' contestant injured in stunt gone wrong
“America’s Got Talent: Extreme” has paused production following a stunt gone wrong that left one of its contestants hospitalized.
Colin L. Powell, former secretary of state and military leader, dies at 84
The Army general helped guide the U.S. military to victory in the 1991 Persian Gulf War as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He struggled a decade later over the U.S. invasion of Iraq as a beleaguered secretary of state under President George W. Bush.
Colin L. Powell, former secretary of state and military leader, dies at 84
The Army general helped guide the U.S. military to victory in the 1991 Persian Gulf War as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He struggled a decade later over the U.S. invasion of Iraq as a beleaguered secretary of state under President George W. Bush.
Hear VP Harris' message in support for VA gubernatorial candidate
Vice President Kamala Harris shared a video where she urged Democratic voters to back Virginia gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe, who is running against Republican Glenn Youngkin, and one of his campaign's most pressing concerns in the closing days before the election is apathy and fatigue among Democratic supporters. CNN's Eva McKend reports.
What's inside the Treasury's proposal to track nearly all bank accounts
The administration has vowed it won't boost audits on middle-income people — but to know who they are, it needs all accounts over $600.
Colin Powell Dies From COVID Complications, Was Fully Vaccinated
The former U.S. Secretary of State has died aged 84.
Wolf Blitzer reflects on the passing of General Colin Powell
CNN's Wolf Blitzer reflects on the death of Colin Powell, the first Black US secretary of state whose leadership in several Republican administrations helped shape American foreign policy in the last years of the 20th century.
Wolf Blitzer reflects on Powell: He was so smart
CNN's Wolf Blitzer reflects on the death of Colin Powell, the first Black US secretary of state whose leadership in several Republican administrations helped shape American foreign policy in the last years of the 20th century.
Colin Powell Has Died of COVID-19 Complications, Family Says
In an announcement on social media, the family said Powell had been fully vaccinated.
New affidavits allege Murdaugh took $3M meant for late housekeeper's family
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Jamie Spears 'Worked Tirelessly to Protect Britney,' Lawyers Say
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Ahmaud Arbery's mother on start of murder trial
The mother of Ahmaud Arbery, Wanda Cooper-Jones, joins “CBS Mornings” to discuss the start of the trial of three men accused of killing her son. The men are facing state charges including murder, false imprisonment and aggravated assault for the shooting death of Arbery in 2020. All three men have pleaded not guilty.
Haitian gang expected to hold 17 missionaries for $1M ransom each
The Haitian gang that abducted 17 mostly American missionaries is expected to demand at least $1 million per hostage -- and has been known to kill those who have not paid.
Giant planet discovered orbiting dead star may be a glimpse into our solar system's future
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Strike planned after US missionaries and children abducted in Haiti
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Russia suspending mission to NATO in response to staff expulsions
Russia will suspend its permanent mission to NATO in response to the alliance's expulsion of eight Russians, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Monday.
Russia suspending mission to NATO in response to staff expulsions
Russia will suspend its permanent mission to NATO in response to the alliance's expulsion of eight Russians, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Monday.
Colin Powell Fast Facts
Read CNN's Fast Facts for a look at the life of Colin Powell, former US secretary of state.
Elizabeth Montgomery Went on a Naked Killing Spree in ‘The Legend of Lizzie Borden’
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‘Winter House’ Wins By Letting Hot, Sexy People Have A Hot, Sexy Good Time
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Fake rhino horns were supposed to foil poachers. What went wrong?
An official with Malaysia’s Department of Wildlife and National Parks holds one of 50 rhino horns that it seized in August 2018. Together, the horns were worth $50 million. | Manan Vatsyayana/AFP via Getty Images Why buzzy tech often fails to protect wildlife. Several years ago, a Seattle-based tech startup called Pembient turned heads when it announced a plan to 3D-print rhinoceros horns to help combat illegal poaching. The idea sounded simple: Hunters are killing rhinos for their valuable horns, so flooding the market with synthetic but otherwise identical horns could undermine demand for the real thing. It’s a creative approach to the plight of rhinos, a problem that conservation groups have longstruggled to solve. “Can we save the rhino from poachers with a 3D printer?” read one headline in 2015. Fast-forward to today and neither Pembient nor any other tech firm has disrupted the market for rhino horn. The startup is out of money and far from developing a commercial product. A few other similar efforts have popped up here and there — most recently in 2019, when scientists said they could make synthetichorns out of horsehair — but these products have yet to catch on. At the same time, companies like Pembient have stoked a debate among scientists over the value and ethics of synthetic animal parts in the campaignagainst poaching. Some researchers argue that selling fake horns could disrupt the market and help save rhinos, while a more vocalgroup of organizations says doing so could subvert law enforcement and prop up illegal trade. The debate also raises questions about the role of tech in wildlife conservation. Though often perceived as a scientific problem, the biodiversity crisis is equally a social, political, and economic issue. Experts told Vox that high-tech approaches sometimes overlook the roots of the crisis, from the economic drivers of poaching to the political underpinnings of habitat loss. Cutting-edge tools canhelp, they say, but only if they’re developed to address the whole picture of biodiversity — and in partnership with those who are directly involved in conservation. James Warwick/Getty Images A rare black rhino in Lake Nakuru National Park, Kenya. The big idea: Flood the market with fake rhino horns Earth is home to five rhino species, three in Asia and two in Africa, and most of them are threatened with extinction. The number of Africa’s critically endangered black rhinos, for example, is down more than 90 percent, from around 70,000 in 1970 to roughly 5,500 today. (That’s up from an all-time low of about 2,400 rhinos in the 1990s.) Poaching is a major force behind these declines. Hunters kill rhinos and saw off their horns, which are incredibly valuablein the underground market, selling for roughly $4,000 to $8,000 per pound, raw, according to one 2019 report. Many horns, which can weigh several pounds each, are sold in China, Vietnam, and other East Asian countries. Some people consume rhino horn powder as a salve for various ailments, such as hangovers and cancer, or carve them into valuable trinkets that tend to signify wealth, according to Michael ‘t Sas-Rolfes, an economist and wildlife trade expert at the University of Oxford. For decades, environmental groups have sought to fight poaching with law enforcement and campaigns to change consumer behavior around rhino horn in East Asia. Some of these efforts have helped — poaching rates are down from their peak in the mid-2000s — but rhinos, which play a key role in the ecosystem and help maintain African grasslands, continue to perish. Pembient sought to tackle the problem head-on when it launched in 2015. “By creating an unlimited supply of horns at one-eighth of the current market price, there should be far less incentive for poachers to risk their lives or government officials to accept bribes,” Matthew Markus, Pembient’s founder, wrote on Reddit not long after the company launched. Sepia Times/Universal Images Group via Getty Images A cup carved out of rhino horn from the early 17th century in China. SSPL/Getty Images To this day, rhino horns are carved and sold as trinkets in markets in East Asia. Here, another cup, possibly from China. The company originally focused on developing synthetic rhino horn powder — the substance that some consume for its perceived medicinal properties — but it eventually pivoted to developing physical synthetic horns with 3D printing techniques. Solid rhino horns are much harder to replicate than powder, Markus told Vox, and people looking to buy carvings are less likely to care whetherthey’re sourced from the real thing. A handful of other companies with similar ideas have sprung up over the years, including US-based firms Rhinoceros Horn LLC and Ceratotech. None seem to have infiltrated the market in a serious way. Huyen Hoang, the co-founder of Rhinoceros Horn LLC, which set out in 2012 to make a synthetic horn powder, told Vox his company “pioneered” the concept of synthetic horn and actually got its product into stores. He declined to say how much of it the company sold or whether it's still on the market. The company has no online presence. Hoang suggested that Rhinoceros Horn LLC clashed with conservation groups, which saw the poaching crisis differently. “Too much politics for me and my co-founder,” he said. The founder of Ceratotech, Garrett Vygantas, said his company still plans to grow rhino horns from scratch in a lab, but it needs more money to develop the product. “A viable prototype will require a sizable investment, which is where I’m held up,” he told Vox. Meanwhile, in 2019, researchers at Oxford and Fudan University in Shanghai published a paper showing thatsynthetic rhino horns can be made by bundling together tail hairs from a horse. “We leave it to others to develop this technology further with the aim to confuse the trade, depress prices and thus support rhino conservation,” Fritz Vollrath, a professor at Oxford and a study author, said in a statement. Ruixin Mi, et al./Nature A drawing of a rhino with two microscopic views — length-wise (B) and a cross-section (C) — of a real rhino horn, which consists of tightly packed hairs. Would synthetic horns curb poaching? There’s not a ton of research into this question, but two studies suggest that identical fakes could, in fact, lower the cost and undercut the supply of authentic horns. “Economic principles tell us that the availability of synthetic horns can reduce the supply of wild horns — and even drive out wild horn sellers completely from the horn market,” Frederick Chen, an economist at Wake Forest University, wrote in one of the studies, published in the journal Ecological Economicsin2017. (Chen is also a co-author on the other study, along with ‘t Sas-Rolfes, which similarly suggests that synthetic horns could reduce poaching under certain conditions. It was published earlier this year.) According to Markus, trust among consumers would erode if they learned the market was full of fakes, which in turn would reduce the value of authentic horns. For example, if a would-be buyer thinks there’s a 50 percent chance that a horn product might be fake, they might pay 50 percent less for it. “They are going to be much more hesitant to transact,” Markus said — and that could ultimately limit the incentive to kill rhinos. But many conservation and animal welfare groups aren’t convinced. They say the situation on the ground is far more complicated than what economic models can tell us — and that making fake horns, let alone with 3D printers, is simply a bad idea. David Talukdar/NurPhoto via Getty Images Government officials in India burn rhino horns at a stadium near Kaziranga National Park on September 22, 2021. Burning horns is a controversial but widely used approach that aims to suppress illegal wildlife trade. One of the most compelling arguments against the technology is that it could stymielaw enforcement and possibly even provide a legal cover for illicit trade. Under a global treaty called CITES, which regulates the trade of thousands of plants and animals, transporting rhino horns internationally is illegal. It’s not clear whether the treaty would apply to synthetic horns, if they’re indistinguishable from the real thing. And if it doesn’t, enforcement officers would need a way to tell real horns from fake ones in order to determine what is and isn’t illicit. Poachers trying to transport wild horns could otherwise claim that their haul is fake. “It gives a cover to poachers,” said Jonathan Kolby, a wildlife trade consultant and former wildlife inspector at the US Fish and Wildlife Service. “Their alibi can be, ‘Oh, it’s a fake and therefore not a crime.’ One possible way around that issue, according to Markus, is to insert a biomarker, or hidden signature, into fake horns that customs officials can detect. But, as he acknowledges, that opens up an avenue for consumers to tell them apart, too. Research suggests that those consumers are willing to pay more for wild horns. Major conservation groups like the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) also worry that even fake horns could fuel the market for wild animal products and thus fuel poaching. “Creation of a synthetic rhino horn still props up the demand of rhino horn,” Colby Loucks, vice president of WWF’s wildlife conservation program, told Vox. In other words, it’s hard to say if more fake horns would truly shrink the market for the real stuff. According to the conservationists and scientists who spoke to Vox, so-called high-tech solutions often neglect the intricate web of social and political forces that they exist in. Carl de Souza/AFP via Getty Images Felipe Spina Avino, a conservation analyst at WWF, uses a drone to map part of a nature reserve in the Brazilian Amazon in 2017. When tech does and doesn’t work Over her 20-year tenure at the nonprofit Save the Rhino, Cathy Dean, the group’s CEO, has reviewed a number of ideas proposed by tech companies to stop poaching. From making rhino powder to building secret cameras to hide in horns, these products are often disconnected from the reality on the ground, and from the needs of people who manage rhino populations, Dean said. “I have a rather cynical belief,” she said,“that the rhino poaching crisis has created a commercial market for companies to try to come up with solutions that desperate and possibly gullible rhino site owners feel compelled to try, because they hope it might be the solution to all of their problems.” In one case, she explained, a company contactedSave the Rhino with an idea for a tracking device that would be inserted into rhino horns. Dean asked the company for some additional information on their product — how big was the device, how long did its battery last, etc. — that she said would help determine whether something like it could really work. In response, Dean went on, the company simply pointed her to a rendering of the device. “It was literally a computer drawing of a doughnut,” she said, with no measurements or sense of scale. “I use it in lectures as an example of how science needs to be better informed by people on the ground.” The good thing is that tools developed in collaboration with local communities, law enforcement, and park rangers — that is, people who actually face the challenges of conservation directly — can help limit poaching. Take, for example, WWF’s work in Kenya’s Masai Mara National Reserve. Originally, the group had planned to use small surveillance drones to help park rangers prevent poaching. After spending a few nights with rangers in the reserve, however, Eric Becker, a conservation engineer at WWF, realized that drones wouldn’t be that helpful after all. What the rangers needed instead was simple night vision, said Becker, as poachers tend to operate under the cover of darkness. WWF provided the thermal imaging equipment — and it worked. “Parachuting into a place with a solution and trying to fit it around their problem,” he said, “doesn’t ever work.” Broadly speaking, drone technology has largely failed to deliver on the promise to help curb poaching, WWF’s Loucks added. Groups hoping to help should also consider that poaching, like other drivers of biodiversity loss, is a social issue, not a matter of science or technology, according to ‘t Sas-Rolfes. If people consume wild rhino horn because they believe it has medicinal properties, then a synthetic version may not be an adequate replacement. Patronizing those who consume rhino horn based on their beliefs — as Western media sometimes does — is probably not helping either, ‘t Sas-Rolfes added, noting that negative attitudes toward using rhino horn can provoke a backlash. “You’ve seen some consumption that’s almost conspicuous,” he said. Trying to transform the views of people who believe in traditional medical systems, such as traditional Chinese medicine, is not only challenging but risks “charges of insensitivity, cultural imperialism, or even racism,” Hubert Cheung, a researcher at the University of Queensland in Australia, wrote in a 2020 paper. Conservation would be more effective if scientists had a stronger understanding of traditional Chinese medicine and engaged with people who practice it, he wrote, “to ensure that interventions are culturally appropriate and socially compatible.” At least for now, the prospect of flooding the market with synthetic horns remains a hypothetical scenario. Pembient doesn’t have enough money to invest in the next stage of development, Markus said, and so far it hasn’t seen “great results” in the lab. That’s to say nothing of the controversy surrounding these products and the regulatory hurdles they’d have to clear. “It doesn’t leave us in a very good position,” Markus said. “But, you know, we’ve yet to call it quits.”
Bizarre 'nude' Lamborghini sold for $111,111
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Lala Kent removes Randall Emmett from Instagram, sparks breakup rumors
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This could make bitcoin bigger than ever
This year, cryptocurrencies have been up. They've been down. But they never seem to be entirely out.
This could make bitcoin bigger than ever
This year, cryptocurrencies have been up. They've been down. But they never seem to be entirely out.
Colin Powell, the former secretary of state, dies at 84
Powell's family said that he died Monday of complications from COVID-19, despite being fully vaccinated. Powell served as secretary of state under George W. Bush.
ECB Tells Banks to Map Climate Risk in Trading, Loan Books
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Stellantis and LG to work together to build batteries in North America
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Pete Buttigieg responds to Tucker Carlson mocking his paternity leave: 'It's important work'
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Apple expected to reveal new MacBooks, AirPods today on company livestream
Rumored announcements at the event — which is called "Unleashed" and is set for 1 p.m. EST — include new Mac computers and upgraded AirPods.