Trump Motivates Biden Voters Just As Much As the Democrat Does: Poll
Some Democrat voters see their ballot as a "vote for Biden",while others see it as a "vote against Trump", a new poll suggests.
Casket Slides Down Hill Onto Pallbearers Below, Three People Hospitalized
The accident happened while the deceased villager's remains were being carried to a cemetery, officials in the Chinese province of Yunnan confirmed Wednesday.
Former Miss America Leanza Cornett dies at age 49
The Jacksonville native, a mother of two, suffered a brain injury after a fall earlier this month.
Macron to travel to Nice later on Thursday
What it's like to be a cruise ship captain
Celebrity Edge Captain Kate McCue tells CNN Travel what it's like taking charge of an enormous floating city and navigating the unexpected, choppy waters of the pandemic.
Maryland receiver Jeshaun Jones fitting right back in after missing season with ACL injury
Maryland’s game at Northwestern signaled the end of Jeshaun Jones’s long, mentally taxing recovery process.
CBSN Originals presents "Reverb | Losing Las Vegas"
The economic fallout from COVID-19 hit Las Vegas harder than any other major city in the nation, devastating households far from the famous Strip. Though the lights are flickering on once again, uncertainty still looms. This episode of CBSN Originals reveals how some Las Vegas workers are navigating a tough new reality with no end in sight.
Every Vote Matters | Opinion
Perhaps the most historic example of how wrong polls can be was the election of President Harry S. Truman in 1948.
Why Trump still appeals to Texas conservatives
Chris Salcedo writes that Texas conservatives are sticking with Trump because of their desire to preserve all liberties and freedoms guaranteed under the Constitution and because they believe a small and limited federal government.
Dozen MLB players have options turned down, go free
What figures to be a down and perhaps brutal market for baseball free agents in the offseason following the pandemic began Wednesday when a dozen players were told their contract options had been declined, among them St. Louis Cardinals Gold Glove second baseman Kolten Wong.
It's Tua Time, and Tagovailoa will look to someday join this list of the NFL's best left-handed QBs
Here is a look at the greatest left-handed quarterbacks in NFL history, a collection that includes two Hall of Famers. Tua Tagovailoa debuts Sunday.
5 things to know for October 29: Covid-19, election, Breonna Taylor, Big Tech, Zeta
Here's what else you need to know to Get Up to Speed and On with Your Day.
USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll: Ahead of Election Day, 3 of 4 voters worry about violence in a divided nation
Biden holds an 8-point lead over Trump in an exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll, but only 1 in 4 are 'very confident' of a peaceful transfer of power.
Pac-12 embarks on short season with lots of new faces at QB
The so-called Conference of Quarterbacks has had some considerable turnover at the position heading into the season.
Pandemic's impact on kids in Deaf and Hard of Hearing community
For many kids in the Deaf and Hard of Hearing community, their families and educators, the pandemic brought a new set of challenges — many centered around access.
Fantasy football rankings for Week 8: Patrick Mahomes takes aim at Jets
The Chiefs host the Jets, so it's no surprise QB Patrick Mahomes and TE Travis Kelce are the top-ranked fantasy players at their positions in Week 8.
Josh Farro Homophobic Allegations Prompt Hayley Williams to Call Out Ex-Paramore Bandmate
"There's a reason there are only 3 people left in @paramore. surprise, haters, it ain't cause of me," frontwoman Williams tweeted Wednesday.
2021 Boston Marathon postponed at least until the fall
Boston Marathon organizers said Wednesday that the 2021 race won't be run on Patriots Day because of the coronavirus pandemic, the second straight year that it has been moved from the April weekend that was its home for more than a century.
Powerball Results, Numbers for 10/28/20: Did Anyone Win the $116 Million Jackpot?
The latest winning numbers were 11, 28, 37, 40 and 53, while the Powerball was 13 and the Power Play was 2x.
NFL trade deadline: What moves should all 32 teams make?
The NFL trade deadline marks a final window to bring on impact players, shed salaries or stock up on picks. But what should each team do?
The Top 5 Reasons to Believe 2020 Won’t Be a 2016 Sequel
“I want to feel hopeful about Joe Biden’s chances this year, but I just can’t,” my neighbor confessed to me, as we stood in line outside a coffee shop. What had begun as pleasant conversation—dogs, the temperature, clouds—had been pulled, through the vortex known as Late October in an Election Year, into an airing of political anxieties. “I’m still so afraid that 2016 is going to happen again and Trump is going to win,” she said.Based on the sample size of my life, every Democrat feels this way. Yes, they’ll preface, the polls look all right for Biden. But four years ago, they looked good for Hillary Clinton too. And so, they fear, the horror film of 2016 is about to get its sequel.There is a small chance that their fears will come true. But for the past few weeks, I’ve been stockpiling all of the quantitative reasons why the 2020 election is really, truly different from 2016, from new polling methodologies to fewer undecided voters. As always, do not allow any level of optimism (or pessimism) to guide your decision to vote. Just vote.[Stanley Greenberg: Believe the polls this time]1. In 2016, the pollsters totally whiffed on the Great Lakes states. In 2020, they’ve changed their methods.National polls weren’t more off in 2016 than in previous years. The problem happened at the state level. Whereas state polls underestimated Barack Obama’s support by about three points in 2012, they underestimated Trump’s support by more than five points in 2016, the largest error so far this century. The most important reason, according to a postmortem from the American Association for Public Opinion Research, was that state polls undercounted non-college-educated voters, who turned out in droves for Trump.Here’s how that happened. Most polls are weighted surveys. That means a pollster collects a bunch of responses and then weights, or adjusts, the answers by age, gender, and political orientation so that the final count closely resembles the American electorate. For instance, if the sample is 60 percent male, the pollster will want to give the women’s responses more weight, because women actually vote more than men.In 2016, many pollsters failed to adjust for the fact that college-educated Americans are typically more likely to respond to surveys. Another way to say this is that pollsters “under-sampled” non-college-educated voters. At the same time, the electorate split sharply along the “diploma divide” to give Trump an advantage among non-college-educated voters. In short, state pollsters made a huge, obvious mistake: Their surveys failed to account for 2016’s most important demographic phenomenon.The good thing about huge, obvious mistakes is that they’re huge and obvious. Practically every high-quality state pollster acknowledged the non-college-educated-voter problem and committed to weighting their 2020 polls by education. The Pew Research Center now weights by education within racial groups. The Marist College and NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls now also weight by geography, in part because college-educated voters are more likely to live in urban and suburban areas.Does this mean that the state polls in 2020 are guaranteed to be perfect? Absolutely not. In fact, they’ll almost certainly be wrong again. (They’re never exactly right.) But the polls almost certainly won’t undercount the pro-Trump non-college-educated vote by the same margin, given how many pollsters adjusted their methodologies specifically to avoid making the same mistake in consecutive presidential elections.2. In 2016, a ton of undecided voters broke late for Trump. In 2020, most of those voters have already decided.Two weeks before the 2016 election, FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver noted that 15 percent of voters still hadn’t made up their minds, which was roughly three times more than the number of undecideds in 2012. This statistic was the Chekhov’s gun of the last election: the ominous presence foreshadowing a final-act surprise. “One of the reasons why our models still give Trump an outside chance at victory,” Silver wrote four years ago, was that Trump could eke it out “by winning almost all of the undecided and third-party voters.”And so he did. Exit polls and post-election surveys found that undecided voters broke strongly for the president. About one in seven voters in key swing states decided in the final week, and they broke for Trump by about 30 points in Wisconsin and 17 points in Florida and Pennsylvania, spelling disaster for Clinton.But 2020 doesn’t have the same capacity for last-minute Democratic horror, because there aren’t nearly as many undecided voters. Fewer undecided voters means less volatility and a smaller chance of last-minute surprises that actually move votes.The relative lack of undecided voters suggests another positive difference for Biden. In 2016, voters disliked both candidates, which is why so many were persuadable in late October. In 2020, voters dislike Trump, and actually like Biden—certainly more than the last Democratic nominee. Biden’s national polling has consistently been about four to six points higher than Clinton’s. His net favorability rating is 17 percentage points higher than Clinton’s was on Election Day. In short, many of 2016's undecideds have decided in 2020 to vote for Biden.3. In 2016, we had the mother of all October surprises. In 2020, we have the most stable race in decades.Biden’s lead is larger and more stable than Clinton’s lead was in 2016. In fact, by one measure, it’s more stable than any presidential nominee’s lead in more than 30 years.In every election going back to the 1980s, the loser was, at some point, ahead in mainstream polls or in the average of polls. In the summer of 1988, Michael Dukakis led George H. W. Bush by double digits. In the spring of 1992, both Ross Perot and Bush were leading Bill Clinton. In January 1996, Bob Dole held a narrow lead over Clinton in Gallup polls. In September 2000, Al Gore surged ahead of George W. Bush. In August 2004, John Kerry led Bush. In September 2008, John McCain led Obama. In October 2012, Mitt Romney inched ahead of Obama. And in 2016, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Trump pogo-sticked all year—from up 10 in March to tied in May, to up six in June, to tied in July.The 2020 election has been totally different. Biden, who is currently up about 8 points in the FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics averages, has led at least 4 points since October of last year. Through everything—the primaries and the pandemic; 4 percent unemployment and 9 percent unemployment; the Democratic National Convention and the Republican National Convention—Biden has led Trump by a moderate to wide margin, and Trump’s support has never exceeded 46 percent in polling averages.People who can remember only the 2016 election are anchoring their expectations to a historically bonkers election. The Comey letter, released on October 28, likely moved the electorate several points toward Trump. In the final weeks of the election, careful poll analysts could see Clinton’s support melting in white working-class districts. But in 2020, that just isn’t happening.[Anne Applebaum: The election is in danger. Prepare now.]4. In 2016, district-level polls indicated a last-minute Democratic collapse. In 2020, they indicate Democratic strength.In early November 2016, several careful polling analysts started sounding the alarm for Hillary Clinton in the upper Midwest.Six days before the election, The Atlantic’s Ron Brownstein noted that “Clinton has not visited Wisconsin since April, and appeared just twice in Michigan from June through October.” By abandoning these key states, she was acting “like a general who has sent out a large expeditionary force and left modest forces to defend their homeland.”Five days before the election, Dave Wasserman at the Cook Political Report tweeted a poll from upstate New York that found Trump ahead by 14 points in a district where Obama and Romney had tied four years earlier. It suggested that Clinton’s support among white working-class districts was collapsing at the worst possible time. “Five days from Election Day, it’s clear who has the momentum,” he wrote. “And it’s not Hillary Clinton. This thing is close.”This year, those congressional polls are telling a different story. Rather than illuminating surprising weaknesses for Biden, they’re reaffirming his strengths. In some cases, the district polls are pointing to an even larger Biden blowout than the national or state surveys. Most important, Trump isn’t getting anywhere near his 2016 margins in Michigan and Pennsylvania, Wasserman observed. Four years ago, there was a quiet “Trump! Trump! Trump!” alarm going off that only congressional polling analysts could hear. This year, they’re listening closely—but no Trump alarm is sounding.5. In 2016, there wasn’t a global pandemic. In 2020, there is a global pandemic.It’s been four years of one “shocking but not surprising” thing after another. But this year’s October surprises have been—unshockingly, unsurprisingly—all about the plague. The president’s COVID-19 diagnosis, which overlapped with a disastrous first-debate performance, buoyed Biden at the moment when Trump needed to stage a comeback. An autumn surge of nationwide cases refocused the national media’s attention on the pandemic, which the public believes Trump has mishandled.[Read: The November surprise]No one can say for sure who will win the election. If undecideds in key states such as Pennsylvania break hard for Trump, and the president benefits from another large polling error—or smallish errors in the right places—he could eke out another victory. Or he could fight Biden to a tie and then win the ensuing legal battles that discount Democratic mail ballots. But that is not the most likely outcome.Biden holds a solid and steady lead over the incumbent president, while the pandemic is becoming more, not less, of a story as the country heads into the final days of voting. When the president complained, once again, on Monday about the news media’s pandemic obsession, his critique usefully crystallized his campaign’s biggest problem: “COVID, COVID, COVID.” The most important difference between 2016 and 2020 isn’t about polling methodology or the opposing candidate. It’s this: Four years ago, Trump ran on the vague promise of success, and this year he’s running on a clear record of failure. Judging by the polls, Americans have noticed.
'The Mandalorian' Season 2 Release Time: When Episodes Come to Disney+
"The Mandalorian" Season 2 is about to return, bringing Baby Yoda back into your life. Here's when episodes are expected to drop around the world.
U.K. Labour Party Broke Law on Anti-Semitism, Watchdog Rules
A damning report by the Equality and Human Rights Commission finds Britain's Labour Party acted unlawfully in its treatment of Jewish members.
Fauci Warns Herd Immunity Will Kill People: 'An Unacceptable Pathway'
The U.S.'s leading immunologist comments were followed by reports the White House was using heard immunity as a basis for policy.
Marsy's Law was meant to protect crime victims. It now hides the identities of cops who use force.
At least half of Florida's 30 largest police agencies said they apply Marsy's Law to shield the names of officers. Now it's on the ballot in Kentucky.
Atlas push to 'slow the testing down' tracks with dramatic decline in one key state
Shortly after joining the White House as President Donald Trump's pandemic adviser, Dr. Scott Atlas launched a quiet effort that seemed counterintuitive to some of his colleagues -- encouraging officials to limit Covid-19 testing mainly to people experiencing symptoms.
They call themselves 'Wives of the Deplorables' because their husbands support Trump
Carole Catherine started "Wives of the Deplorables" after finding out her husband supported President Donald Trump. The Facebook group is made up of wives across the United States who are Democrats, whose spouses are Republicans.
Biden and Trump head to Florida for dueling rallies in battleground state
The battle for Florida is at the forefront of the presidential race Thursday as President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden hold dueling rallies in the marquee swing state.
Poll: Biden holds small lead over Trump with Latino voters in pivotal Florida; lead grows in other battlegrounds
Latinos will be the largest ethnic or racial minority group in the 2020 election, with 32 million eligible to vote.
Hurricane Zeta Photos, Videos Show Severe Damage and Flooding Around New Orleans
The storm ripped through Louisiana, causing mass destruction, and has now moved into Alabama.
Jaime Harrison Says Voters Will Punish Lindsey Graham for Flipping Over Supreme Court Nomination
The Democratic contender for South Carolina told "Late Show" host Stephen Colbert "Lindsey Graham's word isn't worth much of anything."
Live election updates: Trump, Biden continue battling for votes five days from election night
Thursday puts the nation five days away from Election Day, with Trump and Biden expected to make stops.
Paleologos on the Poll: Trump, Biden supporters agree on little, but there's widespread worry about election violence
Paleologos on the Poll: Concern about election violence is bipartisan in the new USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll.
The NFL is confronting racism, but are Black quarterbacks continuing to be stereotyped?
It's widely regarded that the NFL's best quarterbacks this year are Black. Yet, despite monetary success and awards, Black quarterbacks, past and present, say they still face an uphill battle against prejudice, especially when entering the league.
The Black NFL quarterbacks defying racist stereotypes
To his frustration, they talked about Patrick Mahomes' arm rather than his decision making as if brawn somehow mattered more than brain.
Op-Ed: When Trump says immigrants don't show up for court hearings, he couldn't be more wrong
We analyzed 11 years of government records, and 83% — not 1% — of migrants attend all their U.S. immigration court hearings.
Amid the pandemic, college football’s powers ceded the stage. Enter Coastal Carolina.
With five wins on national TV and a top 25 ranking, Coastal Carolina has become one of the happiest surprises of this strange college football season.
Is the business lunch dead? In the days of COVID-19, lunch breaks can mean biking, hiking meetings
Going outside and moving means you're burning calories, not stuck in a chair, enjoying the outside and less likely to be staring at your phone.
Letters to the Editor: There's a simple reason Trumpism will fail — women don't like it
President Trump and his minions cannot handle strong women. No wonder, then, he's doing so poorly with the suburban women who once supported him.
Trump radicalized the Republican Party. If it doesn’t change course, many supporters will flee.
Our research finds that when a party shifts its ideology too much, large demographic blocs shift loyalties to the other party.
Mother of unarmed man killed by Baltimore County police officer files federal suit
Eric Sopp's mother called police last November because her son left the house in a car, drunk. Soon after, a Baltimore County officer shot him dead as he emerged from his car with no weapon.
House GOP Leader McCarthy: I’m voting for President Trump. Here’s why he deserves 4 more years
Republicans and President Trump understand that managed decline is unacceptable. Together, our policies reversed it. And despite unprecedented, unending, and unfounded attacks on his presidency, he delivered historic results in the economy, national security, energy, and the courts.
Letters to the Editor: The current Supreme Court is an abomination, but court packing would make it worse
The solution to the Supreme Court's legitimacy crisis isn't to turn it into an even bigger political football by expanding it. Try term limits.
Ice-cream store with special-needs employees overcomes pandemic’s business obstacles
The Dallas store Howdy Homemade stayed in business thanks to a $100,000 fundraiser and is now looking nationwide for expansion opportunities.
The Field: The Specter of Political Violence
The election anxieties of Americans across the political spectrum are visible in an alarming place: gun sales figures.
‘There’s no help coming before the election’: Indiana’s RV capital faces its worst coronavirus outbreak alone
Health officials in communities like Elkhart County — where President Trump is popular — feel they are being left to struggle with surging case counts and the worrisome price of an uncontrolled outbreak.
Op-Ed: If Biden wins how much can Trump accomplish during his last months as president?
If Joe Biden wins, President Trump's lame-duck period in office has some voters worried — but the Founding Fathers have it (mostly) covered
Editorial: Trump's COVID infection spotlighted a problem: What happens if a president-elect dies?
Various scenarios could play out if a candidate or president-elect dies. Congress would do well to clarify the issue.